MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 09:33:28| >> :60:106:106:
Millwall logo
Club Friendlies 3
Aug 3, 2024 at 1pm UK
The Den
Southampton logo

Millwall
0 - 1
Southampton

FT(HT: 0-0)
Armstrong (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Millwall and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Colchester
Tuesday, July 30 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-0 Southampton
Wednesday, July 31 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Millwall 0-1 Southampton

Just a week out from their Championship opener, Millwall are likely to field a strong XI for Saturday afternoon's clash with Southampton. The same can be said for the Saints after a sluggish first-half display at Oxford on Wednesday, with a host of returning first-team stars set to fire the visitors to victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 47.95%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Southampton in this match.

Result
MillwallDrawSouthampton
27.6% (-0.535 -0.54) 24.46% (-0.553 -0.55) 47.95% (1.09 1.09)
Both teams to score 55.85% (1.416 1.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.51% (2.045 2.05)46.49% (-2.043 -2.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.23% (1.891 1.89)68.77% (-1.889 -1.89)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.35% (0.66500000000001 0.67)30.65% (-0.664 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.11% (0.778 0.78)66.89% (-0.776 -0.78)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.53% (1.282 1.28)19.47% (-1.28 -1.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.68% (2.057 2.06)51.32% (-2.056 -2.06)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 27.6%
    Southampton 47.95%
    Draw 24.45%
MillwallDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 7.06% (-0.488 -0.49)
2-1 @ 6.83% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-0 @ 4.17% (-0.208 -0.21)
3-1 @ 2.69% (0.025 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.106 0.11)
3-0 @ 1.65% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 3%
Total : 27.6%
1-1 @ 11.54% (-0.32 -0.32)
0-0 @ 5.97% (-0.53 -0.53)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.17 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.103 0.1)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.45%
0-1 @ 9.76% (-0.448 -0.45)
1-2 @ 9.45% (0.119 0.12)
0-2 @ 7.99% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-3 @ 5.15% (0.263 0.26)
0-3 @ 4.36% (0.146 0.15)
2-3 @ 3.05% (0.208 0.21)
1-4 @ 2.11% (0.186 0.19)
0-4 @ 1.78% (0.127 0.13)
2-4 @ 1.25% (0.13 0.13)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 47.95%

How you voted: Millwall vs Southampton

Millwall
35.0%
Draw
20.0%
Southampton
45.0%
20
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 34
Southampton
1-2
Millwall
Adams (34')
Stephens (43'), Edozie (84'), Harwood-Bellis (90+5'), Walker-Peters (90+5')
Tanganga (5'), Flemming (44' pen.)
Honeyman (8'), Tanganga (13'), Sarkic (90+1')
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Millwall
0-1
Southampton

Wallace (55'), Longman (70')
Fraser (90+3')
Downes (75'), Bednarek (90+1')
Aug 26, 2014 7.45pm
Round Two
Millwall
0-2
Southampton

Briggs (36')
Cork (52'), Pelle (93')
Pelle (84'), Targett (89')
Mar 17, 2012 3pm
Millwall
2-3
Southampton
Robinson (28')
Kane (88'), Henry (89')
Lambert (16', 85', 88')
Aug 20, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0
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