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Championship | Gameweek 34
Feb 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Millwall logo

Southampton
1 - 2
Millwall

Adams (34')
Stephens (43'), Edozie (84'), Harwood-Bellis (90+5'), Walker-Peters (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Tanganga (5'), Flemming (44' pen.)
Honeyman (8'), Tanganga (13'), Sarkic (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Southampton and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 1-2 Hull City
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-2 Sheff Weds
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Southampton 3-0 Millwall

With Millwall starting a new phase another a different manager, they may play with a sense of freedom at St Mary's. Nevertheless, this is the ideal fixture for the Saints to get back on track, and it leads us to predict a dominant win for Martin's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Southampton win with a probability of 66.25%. A draw has a probability of 19.4% and a win for Millwall has a probability of 14.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Millwall win it is 0-1 (4.27%).

Result
SouthamptonDrawMillwall
66.25% (0.52800000000001 0.53) 19.38% (-0.236 -0.24) 14.35% (-0.294 -0.29)
Both teams to score 51.91% (0.058 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.41% (0.46 0.46)41.59% (-0.461 -0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.01% (0.465 0.46)63.99% (-0.46599999999999 -0.47)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.3% (0.279 0.28)11.69% (-0.281 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.21% (0.596 0.6)36.78% (-0.597 -0.6)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.78% (-0.121 -0.12)41.21% (0.119 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.25% (-0.105 -0.11)77.74% (0.105 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 66.25%
    Millwall 14.36%
    Draw 19.38%
SouthamptonDrawMillwall
2-0 @ 11.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 10.34% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.94% (0.098 0.1)
3-1 @ 7.04% (0.065 0.06)
4-0 @ 4.26% (0.099 0.1)
4-1 @ 3.78% (0.076 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.12% (0.019 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.83% (0.062 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.67% (0.028 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.62% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 66.25%
1-1 @ 9.17% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-0 @ 4.82% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 19.38%
0-1 @ 4.27% (-0.104 -0.1)
1-2 @ 4.06% (-0.066999999999999 -0.07)
0-2 @ 1.89% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.29% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.2% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 14.36%

How you voted: Southampton vs Millwall

Southampton
80.0%
Draw
12.0%
Millwall
8.0%
50
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Millwall
0-1
Southampton

Wallace (55'), Longman (70')
Fraser (90+3')
Downes (75'), Bednarek (90+1')
Aug 26, 2014 7.45pm
Round Two
Millwall
0-2
Southampton

Briggs (36')
Cork (52'), Pelle (93')
Pelle (84'), Targett (89')
Mar 17, 2012 3pm
Millwall
2-3
Southampton
Robinson (28')
Kane (88'), Henry (89')
Lambert (16', 85', 88')
Aug 20, 2011 3pm
Jan 16, 2010 3pm
Millwall
1-1
Southampton
Trotter (90')
Robinson (11')
Lambert (90')
Seaborne (72'), Fonte (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom7511125716
2Sunderland7502146815
3Blackburn RoversBlackburn7430146815
4Burnley7421134914
5Leeds UnitedLeeds7421124814
6Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd743093613
7Watford74121210213
8Middlesbrough732285311
9Norwich CityNorwich7322119211
10Swansea CitySwansea631274310
11Oxford UnitedOxford Utd7313108210
12Hull City72329819
13Derby CountyDerby7304101009
14Millwall7223121028
15Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
16Bristol City6222812-48
17Queens Park RangersQPR7142811-37
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds7214914-57
19Luton TownLuton7214611-57
20Stoke CityStoke7205411-76
21Coventry CityCoventry7124611-55
22Preston North EndPreston7124412-85
23Portsmouth7043713-64
24Cardiff CityCardiff7016217-151


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