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Championship | Gameweek 34
Feb 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Millwall logo

Southampton
1 - 2
Millwall

Adams (34')
Stephens (43'), Edozie (84'), Harwood-Bellis (90+5'), Walker-Peters (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Tanganga (5'), Flemming (44' pen.)
Honeyman (8'), Tanganga (13'), Sarkic (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Southampton and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 1-2 Hull City
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-2 Sheff Weds
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Southampton 3-0 Millwall

With Millwall starting a new phase another a different manager, they may play with a sense of freedom at St Mary's. Nevertheless, this is the ideal fixture for the Saints to get back on track, and it leads us to predict a dominant win for Martin's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Southampton win with a probability of 66.25%. A draw has a probability of 19.4% and a win for Millwall has a probability of 14.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Millwall win it is 0-1 (4.27%).

Result
SouthamptonDrawMillwall
66.25% (0.52800000000001 0.53) 19.38% (-0.236 -0.24) 14.35% (-0.294 -0.29)
Both teams to score 51.91% (0.058 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.41% (0.46 0.46)41.59% (-0.461 -0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.01% (0.465 0.46)63.99% (-0.46599999999999 -0.47)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.3% (0.279 0.28)11.69% (-0.281 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.21% (0.596 0.6)36.78% (-0.597 -0.6)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.78% (-0.121 -0.12)41.21% (0.119 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.25% (-0.105 -0.11)77.74% (0.105 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 66.25%
    Millwall 14.36%
    Draw 19.38%
SouthamptonDrawMillwall
2-0 @ 11.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 10.34% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.94% (0.098 0.1)
3-1 @ 7.04% (0.065 0.06)
4-0 @ 4.26% (0.099 0.1)
4-1 @ 3.78% (0.076 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.12% (0.019 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.83% (0.062 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.67% (0.028 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.62% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 66.25%
1-1 @ 9.17% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-0 @ 4.82% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 19.38%
0-1 @ 4.27% (-0.104 -0.1)
1-2 @ 4.06% (-0.066999999999999 -0.07)
0-2 @ 1.89% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.29% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.2% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 14.36%

How you voted: Southampton vs Millwall

Southampton
80.0%
Draw
12.0%
Millwall
8.0%
50
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Millwall
0-1
Southampton

Wallace (55'), Longman (70')
Fraser (90+3')
Downes (75'), Bednarek (90+1')
Aug 26, 2014 7.45pm
Round Two
Millwall
0-2
Southampton

Briggs (36')
Cork (52'), Pelle (93')
Pelle (84'), Targett (89')
Mar 17, 2012 3pm
Millwall
2-3
Southampton
Robinson (28')
Kane (88'), Henry (89')
Lambert (16', 85', 88')
Aug 20, 2011 3pm
Jan 16, 2010 3pm
Millwall
1-1
Southampton
Trotter (90')
Robinson (11')
Lambert (90')
Seaborne (72'), Fonte (79')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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