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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Southampton win with a probability of 66.25%. A draw has a probability of 19.4% and a win for Millwall has a probability of 14.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Millwall win it is 0-1 (4.27%).
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | Millwall |
66.25% ( 0.53) | 19.38% ( -0.24) | 14.35% ( -0.29) |
Both teams to score 51.91% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.41% ( 0.46) | 41.59% ( -0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.01% ( 0.46) | 63.99% ( -0.47) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.3% ( 0.28) | 11.69% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.21% ( 0.6) | 36.78% ( -0.6) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.78% ( -0.12) | 41.21% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.25% ( -0.11) | 77.74% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | Millwall |
2-0 @ 11.09% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 10.34% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.71% Total : 66.25% | 1-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.38% | 0-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.64% Total : 14.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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