MX23RW : Saturday, September 28 22:45:23| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 15
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Den
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Millwall
0 - 1
Southampton


Wallace (55'), Longman (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fraser (90+3')
Downes (75'), Bednarek (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions
Last Game: Watford 2-2 Millwall
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Championship

Southampton

All competitions
Last Game: Southampton 3-1 Birmingham
Saturday, October 28 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-3 Southampton

 While Millwall are capable of upsetting the odds against any second-tier opponent at home, Southampton are clear favourites for this contest. As well as dominating the ball, we expect the visitors to win with relative ease to keep the pressure on the teams in the playoff spots. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawSouthampton
37.84% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 25.58% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 36.58% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 55.69% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.69% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)48.31% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.54% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)70.46% (0.033999999999992 0.03)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.98% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)25.02% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.31% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)59.69% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.28% (-0.012 -0.01)25.72% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.35% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)60.65% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 37.84%
    Southampton 36.58%
    Draw 25.57%
MillwallDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 8.92% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.39% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 6.18% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 3.87% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-0 @ 2.85% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 37.84%
1-1 @ 12.1%
0-0 @ 6.44% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.57%
0-1 @ 8.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.22%
0-2 @ 5.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.69%
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 36.58%

How you voted: Millwall vs Southampton

Millwall
7.1%
Draw
21.4%
Southampton
71.4%
28
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2014 7.45pm
Round Two
Millwall
0-2
Southampton

Briggs (36')
Cork (52'), Pelle (93')
Pelle (84'), Targett (89')
> Match Report
Mar 17, 2012 3pm
Millwall
2-3
Southampton
Robinson (28')
Kane (88'), Henry (89')
Lambert (16', 85', 88')
> Match Report
Aug 20, 2011 3pm
Southampton
1-0
Millwall
Henderson (57'), Henry (66'), Robinson (77')
Jan 16, 2010 3pm
Millwall
1-1
Southampton
Trotter (90')
Robinson (11')
Lambert (90')
Seaborne (72'), Fonte (79')
Aug 8, 2009 3pm
Southampton
1-1
Millwall
Paterson (51')
Abdou (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom7511125716
2Sunderland7502146815
3Blackburn RoversBlackburn7430146815
4Burnley7421134914
5Leeds UnitedLeeds7421124814
6Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd743093613
7Watford74121210213
8Middlesbrough732285311
9Norwich CityNorwich7322119211
10Swansea CitySwansea631274310
11Oxford UnitedOxford Utd7313108210
12Hull City72329819
13Derby CountyDerby7304101009
14Millwall7223121028
15Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
16Bristol City6222812-48
17Queens Park RangersQPR7142811-37
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds7214914-57
19Luton TownLuton7214611-57
20Stoke CityStoke7205411-76
21Coventry CityCoventry7124611-55
22Preston North EndPreston7124412-85
23Portsmouth7043713-64
24Cardiff CityCardiff7016217-151
> Championship Full Table


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