Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portadown win with a probability of 65.69%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Moneyslane had a probability of 14.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portadown win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.1%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Moneyslane win it was 1-0 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portadown would win this match.