Pacos de Ferreira

4 - 3

Estrela Amadora

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 51.8%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 23.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pacos de Ferreira would win this match.