Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29

Apr 14, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Jose Gomes da Costa

Estrela Amadora
2 - 2
Rio Ave

Cordeiro (43'), Kikas (88')
Lima (29'), Nanu (45+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Aderlan (12'), Vrousai (90+9')
Patrick (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions

Last Game: Moreirense 2-2 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, April 7 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Rio Ave

All competitions

Last Game: Rio Ave 3-0 Gil Vicente
Saturday, April 6 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Estrela Amadora 1-1 Rio Ave

Estrela and Rio Ave find themselves scrambling for points at the wrong end of the table and Sunday's result could prove pivotal in their battle against the drop. We predict that both sides will take a cautious approach to this one and cancel out each other's efforts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Estrela Amadora	Draw	Rio Ave
30.13% ( 0.8)	26.58% ( 0.39)	43.29% ( -1.19)

Both teams to score 50.7% (

-0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.06% (

-1.18)

53.94% (

1.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.61% (

-0.99)

75.39% (

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.35% (

-0.02)

32.64% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.81% (

-0.03)

69.19% (

0.02)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.28% (

-1.1)

24.72% (

1.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.73% (

-1.56)

59.27% (

1.56)

Score Analysis

Estrela Amadora 30.13%

Rio Ave 43.29%

Draw 26.58%

Estrela Amadora	Draw	Rio Ave
1-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.6% Total : 30.13%	1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.58%	0-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 8.82% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 7.88% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.51% Total : 43.29%