MX23RW : Friday, April 25 14:57:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 14, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Gomes da Costa
Rio Ave

Estrela Amadora
2 - 2
Rio Ave

Cordeiro (43'), Kikas (88')
Lima (29'), Nanu (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Aderlan (12'), Vrousai (90+9')
Patrick (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Moreirense 2-2 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, April 7 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 3-0 Gil Vicente
Saturday, April 6 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estrela Amadora 1-1 Rio Ave

Estrela and Rio Ave find themselves scrambling for points at the wrong end of the table and Sunday's result could prove pivotal in their battle against the drop. We predict that both sides will take a cautious approach to this one and cancel out each other's efforts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Estrela AmadoraDrawRio Ave
30.13% (0.802 0.8) 26.58% (0.387 0.39) 43.29% (-1.188 -1.19)
Both teams to score 50.7% (-0.76 -0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.06% (-1.177 -1.18)53.94% (1.179 1.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.61% (-0.995 -0.99)75.39% (0.996 1)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.35% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)32.64% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.81% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)69.19% (0.024999999999991 0.02)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.28% (-1.102 -1.1)24.72% (1.103 1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.73% (-1.562 -1.56)59.27% (1.564 1.56)
Score Analysis
    Estrela Amadora 30.13%
    Rio Ave 43.29%
    Draw 26.58%
Estrela AmadoraDrawRio Ave
1-0 @ 9.03% (0.404 0.4)
2-1 @ 7.07% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 5.06% (0.223 0.22)
3-1 @ 2.64% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.89% (0.082 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.84% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 30.13%
1-1 @ 12.62% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 8.07% (0.365 0.37)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.095 -0.09)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.58%
0-1 @ 11.27% (0.16 0.16)
1-2 @ 8.82% (-0.166 -0.17)
0-2 @ 7.88% (-0.143 -0.14)
1-3 @ 4.11% (-0.214 -0.21)
0-3 @ 3.67% (-0.188 -0.19)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.121 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.44% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-4 @ 1.28% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 43.29%

How you voted: Estrela Amadora vs Rio Ave

Estrela Amadora
Draw
Rio Ave
Estrela Amadora
33.3%
Draw
38.9%
Rio Ave
27.8%
18
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 12
Rio Ave
1-1
Estrela Amadora
Aderlan (81')
Oudrhiri (21'), Rodrigues (66'), Graca (90+5'), Nobrega (90+1')
Sa (86' og.)
Pereira Martins (25')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon30226278255372
2Benfica30233474254972
3Braga30196551252663
4Porto30195657263162
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes30121264132948
6Santa ClaraSanta Clara30145112929047
7FamalicaoFamalicao30111093933643
8Casa Pia30118113538-341
9Estoril PraiaEstoril30109113848-1039
10MoreirenseMoreirense3098133544-935
11Rio AveRio Ave3089133348-1533
12AroucaArouca3089133045-1533
13Nacional3095162741-1432
14Gil Vicente3078153043-1329
15Estrela Amadora3068162243-2126
16AVS30412142349-2624
17SC FarenseFarense3049172041-2121
18BoavistaBoavista3056192047-2721


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