Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Rio Ave |
30.13% ( 0.8) | 26.58% ( 0.39) | 43.29% ( -1.19) |
Both teams to score 50.7% ( -0.76) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.06% ( -1.18) | 53.94% ( 1.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.61% ( -0.99) | 75.39% ( 1) |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.35% ( -0.02) | 32.64% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.81% ( -0.03) | 69.19% ( 0.02) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.28% ( -1.1) | 24.72% ( 1.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.73% ( -1.56) | 59.27% ( 1.56) |
Score Analysis |
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Rio Ave |
1-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.6% Total : 30.13% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.58% | 0-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 8.82% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 7.88% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.51% Total : 43.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
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