Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 52.26%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 24.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Estrela Amadora | Draw | SC Farense |
52.26% ( -0.43) | 23.22% ( 0.18) | 24.53% ( 0.25) |
Both teams to score 57.1% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.49% ( -0.59) | 43.51% ( 0.59) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.09% ( -0.58) | 65.91% ( 0.58) |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.33% ( -0.37) | 16.67% ( 0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.46% ( -0.66) | 46.54% ( 0.66) |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.52% ( -0.11) | 31.48% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.14% ( -0.13) | 67.86% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Estrela Amadora | Draw | SC Farense |
2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.21% Total : 52.26% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.21% | 1-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.73% Total : 24.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |