MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 09:27:17| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32
May 5, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Estrela Amadora

Arouca
0 - 0
Estrela Amadora


Rocha (90')
FT

Varela (40'), Pinho (44'), Cordeiro (90+3'), Bucca (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Estrela Amadora, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gil Vicente 2-2 Arouca
Friday, April 26 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 0-3 Farense
Monday, April 29 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Arouca 2-1 Estrela Amadora

Arouca have been a real force to reckon with on their own patch of late, and they are huge favourites to get the job done here. We are backing the hosts to come away with maximum points at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 49.42%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 26.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
AroucaDrawEstrela Amadora
49.42% (-0.38800000000001 -0.39) 24.47% (0.109 0.11) 26.1% (0.276 0.28)
Both teams to score 54.53% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.36% (-0.247 -0.25)47.64% (0.244 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.16% (-0.228 -0.23)69.84% (0.22699999999999 0.23)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.68% (-0.254 -0.25)19.32% (0.252 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.92% (-0.415 -0.41)51.08% (0.413 0.41)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.59% (0.089999999999989 0.09)32.41% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.07% (0.102 0.1)68.92% (-0.10499999999999 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 49.42%
    Estrela Amadora 26.1%
    Draw 24.47%
AroucaDrawEstrela Amadora
1-0 @ 10.29% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.46% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.23% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.64% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.91% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 49.42%
1-1 @ 11.59% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.26% (0.064 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.47%
0-1 @ 7.05% (0.089 0.09)
1-2 @ 6.53% (0.048 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.97% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.45% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 26.1%

How you voted: Arouca vs Estrela Amadora

Arouca
85.7%
Draw
14.3%
Estrela Amadora
0.0%
14
Head to Head
Dec 28, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 15
Estrela Amadora
1-4
Arouca
Gaspar (11')
Dida (71')
Mujica (47'), Jason (77'), Montero (80'), Bukia (90+1')
Mujica (40'), Sylla (66'), De Arruabarrena (90+7')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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