Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 59.64%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for WSG Swarovski Tirol had a probability of 18.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.96%) and 0-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a WSG Swarovski Tirol win it was 1-0 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.