Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.57%) and 2-0 (5.46%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Monaco |
40.33% ( -0.11) | 23.28% ( 0.02) | 36.39% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 64.14% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.64% ( -0.09) | 37.36% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.42% ( -0.1) | 59.58% ( 0.1) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.01% ( -0.09) | 18.99% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.47% ( -0.14) | 50.53% ( 0.14) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.17% ( 0) | 20.83% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.49% ( 0) | 53.51% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Monaco |
2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.48% Total : 40.33% | 1-1 @ 10.3% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.51% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.66% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.91% Total : 36.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
6 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
7 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
15 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
16 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |