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AJ Auxerre
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Strasbourg
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Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 31
Apr 28, 2024 at 6pm UK
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Monaco

Lyon
3 - 2
Monaco

Lacazette (22'), Benrahma (26'), Fofana (84')
Benrahma (38')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ben Yedder (1', 60')
Minamino (25'), Ouattara (47'), Diatta (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSG 4-1 Lyon
Sunday, April 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 1-0 Lille
Wednesday, April 24 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lyon 1-1 Monaco

Lyon's form in recent months has certainly been that of a side fighting around the top of the division with Monaco, had it been maintained throughout, and we anticipate an even contest on Sunday as a result. The visitors travel with plenty of momentum in their bid to cement second place, but they may have to settle for a share of the points at the Parc Olympique Lyonnais. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.57%) and 2-0 (5.46%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
LyonDrawMonaco
40.33% (-0.108 -0.11) 23.28% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 36.39% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 64.14% (-0.067000000000007 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.64% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)37.36% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.42% (-0.1 -0.1)59.58% (0.098999999999997 0.1)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.01% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)18.99% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.47% (-0.144 -0.14)50.53% (0.143 0.14)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.17% (0.0019999999999953 0)20.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.49% (0.0019999999999953 0)53.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 40.33%
    Monaco 36.39%
    Draw 23.27%
LyonDrawMonaco
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.57% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.74% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.72% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.02% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 40.33%
1-1 @ 10.3% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.72% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.95% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.95% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.27%
1-2 @ 8.09% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.2% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.87% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.23% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.55% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.66% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.38% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 36.39%

How you voted: Lyon vs Monaco

Lyon
34.4%
Draw
23.4%
Monaco
42.2%
64
Head to Head
Dec 15, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 16
Monaco
0-1
Lyon

Singo (29')
Jeffinho (85')
Mata (31'), Henrique (90+5')
May 19, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 36
Lyon
3-1
Monaco
Lacazette (38'), Caqueret (57'), Cherki (78')
Ben Yedder (2' pen.)
Golovin (31'), Jakobs (55'), Vanderson (63')
Sep 11, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Monaco
2-1
Lyon
Badiashile (55'), Maripan (63')
Feb 5, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 23
Monaco
2-0
Lyon
Lucas (2'), Ben Yedder (27')
Maripan (69')

Dembele (64'), Boateng (69')
Oct 16, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 10
Lyon
2-0
Monaco
Toko Ekambi (75' pen.), Denayer (90')
Caqueret (77')

Disasi (73'), Lucas (76')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG12102036102632
2MonacoMonaco1282221101126
3Marseille1272327161123
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon125431916319
6Reims125342016418
7Nice1145221111017
8Lens124531312117
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse124351314-115
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest124171622-613
13Saint-EtienneSt Etienne124171125-1413
14Rennes113261318-511
15NantesNantes112451417-310
16Angers112451320-710
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier122191132-217


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