These two evenly matched teams have shown plenty of resilience at the Gold Cup so far, and with so much at stake, we expect to see a nervy affair between a pair of sides who are not used to being in this position and may be afraid to take chances. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guadeloupe win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Guatemala had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guadeloupe win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Guatemala win was 0-1 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Guadeloupe	Draw	Guatemala
38.5% ( -0.43)	28.14% ( 0.05)	33.36% ( 0.37)

Both teams to score 47.13% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.04% (

-0.14)

58.96% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.56% (

-0.11)

79.44% (

0.11)

Guadeloupe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.31% (

-0.32)

29.69% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.25% (

-0.39)

65.75% (

0.39)

Guatemala Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.04% (

0.19)

32.96% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.46% (

0.2)

69.54% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

Guadeloupe 38.49%

Guatemala 33.36%

Draw 28.13%

Guadeloupe	Draw	Guatemala
1-0 @ 11.88% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.01% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.44% Total : 38.49%	1-1 @ 13.18% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.13%	0-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 33.36%