Guadeloupe

2 - 3

Guatemala

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guadeloupe win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Guatemala had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guadeloupe win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Guatemala win was 0-1 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.