World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | First Round
Jun 4, 2021 at 11pm UK
Estadio Nacional Mateo Flores
Guatemala10 - 0St Vincent & Gr.
Lom (1'), Mendez (89'), Barrientos (12'), Santis (16'), Hernandez (33' pen.), Gordillo (41'), Martinez (52'), Betancourth (66'), Ceballos (79' pen.), Vargas (85')
FT(HT: 5-0)
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America First Round clash between Guatemala and Saint Vincent & the Grenadines.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 56.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Saint Vincent & the Grenadines had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Saint Vincent & the Grenadines win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 10-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guatemala would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Guatemala | Draw | Saint Vincent & the Grenadines |
| 56.1% | 22.6% | 21.3% |
| Both teams to score 55.02% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
