CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jun 26, 2023 at 1.30am UK
NRG Stadium
Mexico4 - 0Honduras
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Panama 0-1 Mexico
Sunday, June 18 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Sunday, June 18 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mexico | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Haiti | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Honduras | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Qatar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Mexico 2-0 Honduras
These were two of the strongest teams in the region a few years ago, but neither have looked nearly as sharp over the past year or so. Playing without Quioto could be challenging for Honduras, who rely heavily on the CF Montreal attacker, and we expect the experienced Mexican backline to have an easier time shutting down Los Catrachos, while their attack should be able to break through against an inexperienced defensive unit. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 74.84%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 7.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 2-0 with a probability of 17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (16.64%) and 3-0 (11.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.14%), while for a Honduras win it was 0-1 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mexico | Draw | Honduras |
74.84% ( 0.13) | 17.9% ( -0.13) | 7.26% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 32.32% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.82% ( 0.47) | 54.18% ( -0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.41% ( 0.39) | 75.59% ( -0.38) |
| Mexico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.05% ( 0.18) | 12.95% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.57% ( 0.36) | 39.43% ( -0.36) |
| Honduras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 37.13% ( 0.28) | 62.87% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 7.95% ( 0.13) | 92.05% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
Mexico 74.82%
Honduras 7.26%
Draw 17.91%
| Mexico | Draw | Honduras |
| 2-0 @ 17% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 16.64% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 11.58% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.86% Total : 74.82% | 0-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.15) 1-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.2% Total : 17.91% | 0-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.69% Total : 7.26% |
How you voted: Mexico vs Honduras
Mexico
84.6%Draw
7.7%Honduras
7.7%26
Head to Head
Mar 28, 2022 12.05am
Oct 11, 2021 12am
Third Round
Mexico
3-0
Honduras
Jul 25, 2021 3am
Quarter-Finals
Mexico
3-0
Honduras
Jun 13, 2021 1am
Friendlies 1
Mexico
0-0
Honduras
Jul 2, 2015 2.30am
