World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Oct 11, 2021 at 12am UK
Mexico3 - 0Honduras
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 64.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 9.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 22.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.82%) and 3-0 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.13%), while for a Honduras win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mexico | Draw | Honduras |
| 64.87% | 25.51% | 9.62% |
| Both teams to score 25.4% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
