Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 75.37%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for AEL Larissa had a probability of 8.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.05%) and 3-0 (11.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.72%), while for an AEL Larissa win it was 0-1 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.