Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.34%) and 0-2 (5.87%). The likeliest Marseille win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.