Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 43.61%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 26.65%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.1%) and 1-2 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.17%), while for a Panathinaikos win it was 1-0 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.