Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 48.83%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Apollon Smyrni had a probability of 23.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for an Apollon Smyrni win it was 0-1 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.