Europa League | First Qualifying Round
Aug 27, 2020 at 5pm UK
Georgios Kamaras Stadium
Apollon5 - 1Saburtalo
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Europa League First Qualifying Round clash between Apollon Smyrni and Saburtalo Tbilisi.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Apollon Smyrni win with a probability of 49.13%. A win for Saburtalo had a probability of 27.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Apollon Smyrni win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Saburtalo win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Apollon Smyrni would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Apollon Smyrni | Draw | Saburtalo Tbilisi |
| 49.13% | 23.79% | 27.08% |
| Both teams to score 57.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.12% | 43.88% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.73% | 66.27% |
| Apollon Smyrni Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.02% | 17.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.17% | 48.82% |
| Saburtalo Tbilisi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.32% | 29.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.27% | 65.72% |
| Score Analysis |
Apollon Smyrni 49.13%
Saburtalo Tbilisi 27.08%
Draw 23.79%
| Apollon Smyrni | Draw | Saburtalo Tbilisi |
| 2-1 @ 9.54% 1-0 @ 9.15% 2-0 @ 7.86% 3-1 @ 5.46% 3-0 @ 4.49% 3-2 @ 3.32% 4-1 @ 2.34% 4-0 @ 1.93% 4-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.62% Total : 49.13% | 1-1 @ 11.12% 2-2 @ 5.8% 0-0 @ 5.33% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.79% | 1-2 @ 6.76% 0-1 @ 6.48% 0-2 @ 3.94% 1-3 @ 2.74% 2-3 @ 2.35% 0-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 3.23% Total : 27.08% |
Form Guide
