Friendlies 3
Oct 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Lobatse Stadium
Botswana2 - 1Eswatini
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Botswana and Eswatini.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Botswana 1-1 Zimbabwe
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in International Friendlies
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: South Africa 0-0 Eswatini
Friday, October 13 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Friday, October 13 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botswana win with a probability of 34.43%. A win for Eswatini had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 31.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botswana win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.77%) and 2-1 (6.65%). The likeliest Eswatini win was 0-1 (13.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botswana would win this match.
Result | ||
Botswana | Draw | Eswatini |
34.43% ( 0.01) | 31.17% ( 0.01) | 34.39% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 39.16% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
31.4% ( -0.01) | 68.59% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
13.67% ( -0.01) | 86.32% ( 0.01) |
Botswana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.59% ( 0) | 37.4% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.81% ( 0) | 74.18% ( -0) |
Eswatini Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.56% ( -0.02) | 37.44% ( 0.02) |