COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 11, 2023 at 5pm UK
Princess Magogo Stadium
South Africa2 - 1Eswatini
Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between South Africa and Eswatini.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: South Africa 2-1 Botswana
Saturday, July 8 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Saturday, July 8 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 9 |
2 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 6 |
3 | South Africa | 3 | -1 | 3 |
4 | Namibia | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Last Game: Namibia 1-2 Eswatini
Saturday, July 8 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
Saturday, July 8 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 67.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Eswatini had a probability of 9.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.4%) and 3-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.12%), while for a Eswatini win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Africa would win this match.
Result | ||
South Africa | Draw | Eswatini |
67.9% ( 0.21) | 22.32% ( -0.03) | 9.77% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 31.2% ( -0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.62% ( -0.27) | 62.37% ( 0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.99% ( -0.2) | 82.01% ( 0.2) |
South Africa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.05% ( -0.02) | 17.95% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.22% ( -0.04) | 48.78% ( 0.04) |
Eswatini Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
38.02% ( -0.54) | 61.97% ( 0.54) |