Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 18, 2023 at 4pm UK
Mbombela Stadium
Eswatini0 - 2Togo
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Eswatini 0-1 Cape Verde
Tuesday, March 28 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Tuesday, March 28 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
We said: Eswatini 0-1 Togo
Both teams boast the same number of goals scored and conceded from their opening four matches and this weekend's contest could easily swing either way. However, we just about back the away side to emerge victorious at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eswatini win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for Togo had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eswatini win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Togo win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Togo would win this match.
Result | ||
Eswatini | Draw | Togo |
37.87% ( 1.31) | 27.57% ( -0.3) | 34.55% ( -1.01) |
Both teams to score 49.02% ( 0.84) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.31% ( 1.08) | 56.69% ( -1.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.35% ( 0.86) | 77.65% ( -0.87) |
Eswatini Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.05% ( 1.32) | 28.95% ( -1.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.16% ( 1.61) | 64.83% ( -1.61) |
Togo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.99% ( -0.1) | 31% ( 0.1) |