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Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 18, 2023 at 4pm UK
Mbombela Stadium
Togo national football team

Eswatini
0 - 2
Togo


Msibi (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Denkey (14'), Placca (90+2')
Amouzou (56'), Duarte (57'), Romao (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Eswatini and Togo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Eswatini 0-1 Cape Verde
Tuesday, March 28 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Togo 2-0 Lesotho
Wednesday, June 14 at 3pm in International Friendlies

We said: Eswatini 0-1 Togo

Both teams boast the same number of goals scored and conceded from their opening four matches and this weekend's contest could easily swing either way. However, we just about back the away side to emerge victorious at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eswatini win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for Togo had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eswatini win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Togo win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Togo would win this match.

Result
EswatiniDrawTogo
37.87% (1.308 1.31) 27.57% (-0.303 -0.3) 34.55% (-1.009 -1.01)
Both teams to score 49.02% (0.842 0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.31% (1.083 1.08)56.69% (-1.086 -1.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.35% (0.862 0.86)77.65% (-0.866 -0.87)
Eswatini Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.05% (1.322 1.32)28.95% (-1.325 -1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.16% (1.61 1.61)64.83% (-1.613 -1.61)
Togo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.99% (-0.102 -0.1)31% (0.1 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.69% (-0.119 -0.12)67.31% (0.11500000000001 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Eswatini 37.87%
    Togo 34.55%
    Draw 27.56%
EswatiniDrawTogo
1-0 @ 11.12% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.08% (0.233 0.23)
2-0 @ 6.9% (0.217 0.22)
3-1 @ 3.34% (0.213 0.21)
3-0 @ 2.85% (0.19 0.19)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.12 0.12)
4-1 @ 1.03% (0.101 0.1)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 37.87%
1-1 @ 13.02% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 8.98% (-0.38 -0.38)
2-2 @ 4.73% (0.124 0.12)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.56%
0-1 @ 10.51% (-0.47 -0.47)
1-2 @ 7.63% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
0-2 @ 6.15% (-0.296 -0.3)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.4% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 34.55%

How you voted: Eswatini vs Togo

Eswatini
25.0%
Draw
8.3%
Togo
66.7%
12
Head to Head
Jun 3, 2022 5pm
Group Stage
Togo
2-2
Eswatini
Placca (20'), Fo-Doh Laba (87')
Tchakei (36'), Asamoah (56')
Ndzinisa (84'), Ngwenya (90+5')
Senzo Dlamini (58'), Thwala (74')
rhs 2.0
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