Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 58.92%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Guyana had a probability of 18.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Guyana win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cape Verde in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Cape Verde.
0.76) 
-0.35) 
