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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Cape Verde national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Round of 16
Jan 29, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade de l'Amitie
Mauritania national football team

Cape Verde
1 - 0
Mauritania

Mendes (88' pen.)
Pina (11')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Niasse (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Cape Verde and Mauritania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cape Verde

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Cape Verde 2-2 Egypt
Monday, January 22 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Mauritania

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Mauritania 1-0 Algeria
Tuesday, January 23 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

We said: Cape Verde 2-0 Mauritania

 Despite Abdou's coaching, Mauritania are not expected to stop Cape Verde's attacking unit, with the Blue Sharks having too much for the Lions of Chinguetti to secure their first-ever knockout victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Mauritania had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.17%) and 2-1 (7.81%). The likeliest Mauritania win was 0-1 (11.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cape Verde in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Cape Verde.

Result
Cape VerdeDrawMauritania
40.71% (0.163 0.16) 29.51% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06) 29.78% (-0.109 -0.11)
Both teams to score 42.44% (0.109 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.72% (0.15 0.15)64.27% (-0.15600000000001 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.62% (0.107 0.11)83.38% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)
Cape Verde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.96% (0.173 0.17)31.03% (-0.178 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.65% (0.202 0.2)67.35% (-0.209 -0.21)
Mauritania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.53% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)38.46% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.78% (0.0010000000000012 0)75.21% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cape Verde 40.71%
    Mauritania 29.77%
    Draw 29.5%
Cape VerdeDrawMauritania
1-0 @ 13.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.17% (0.032 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.81% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.19% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.05% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.46% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 40.71%
1-1 @ 13.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 11.93% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 3.73% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 29.5%
0-1 @ 11.4% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-2 @ 6.38% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 5.45% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.03% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.74% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.19% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 29.77%

How you voted: Cape Verde vs Mauritania

Cape Verde
93.0%
Mauritania
7.0%
100
rhs 2.0
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