MX23RW : Saturday, November 9 01:58:04| >> :120:4586:4586:
Malawi national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bingu National Stadium
Kenya national football team

Malawi
0 - 4
Kenya


Sanudi (39')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Olunga (1', 5' pen.), Masika (83'), Avire (90+3')
Erambo (27'), Olunga (68'), Omorwa (70')
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 1 clash between Malawi and Kenya.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Malawi 0-1 Tunisia
Tuesday, November 21 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
All competitions
Last Game: Seychelles 0-5 Kenya
Monday, November 20 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kenya win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Malawi had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Malawi win was 1-0 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kenya would win this match.

Result
MalawiDrawKenya
29.87% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 26.26% (-0.038 -0.04) 43.87% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Both teams to score 51.55% (0.101 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.21% (0.13800000000001 0.14)52.79% (-0.137 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.59% (0.118 0.12)74.42% (-0.117 -0.12)
Malawi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.77% (0.060000000000002 0.06)32.24% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.27% (0.068999999999999 0.07)68.73% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Kenya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.07% (0.084000000000003 0.08)23.93% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.86% (0.122 0.12)58.14% (-0.121 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Malawi 29.87%
    Kenya 43.87%
    Draw 26.25%
MalawiDrawKenya
1-0 @ 8.73% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 4.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.91% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.87% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 29.87%
1-1 @ 12.48% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.71% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.06% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 11.03% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.93% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.26% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.76% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.41% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.52% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.35% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 43.87%

How you voted: Malawi vs Kenya

Malawi
30.8%
Draw
7.7%
Kenya
61.5%
13
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2018 1pm
International Friendlies
Kenya
1-0
Malawi
Kahata (77')
rhs 2.0
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