World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Nov 17, 2023 at 4pm UK

Samuel Kanyon Doe Sports Complex

Liberia
0 - 1
Malawi

Kamara (71')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mphasi (78')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Liberia and Malawi, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Liberia

Last Game: Morocco 3-0 Liberia
Tuesday, October 17 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Malawi

All competitions

Last Game: Malawi 2-2 Guinea
Saturday, September 9 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	1	5
2	Guinea	3	0	4
3	Malawi	3	0	4
4	Zimbabwe	3	-1	3

Currently on a poor run of results, Liberia and Malawi will be looking to find their feet and get their qualifying campaign off to a fine start. However, both sides are evenly matched on paper and we predict that they will cancel out each other's efforts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 66.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Liberia had a probability of 11.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.81%) and 0-3 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Liberia win it was 1-0 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 16.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Malawi in this match.

Result
Liberia	Draw	Malawi
11.78% ( -0.09)	22.2% ( -0.57)	66.01% ( 0.66)

Both teams to score 36.88% (

1.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.9% (

1.68)

58.1% (

-1.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.23% (

1.3)

78.77% (

-1.3)

Liberia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.47% (

0.86)

55.53% (

-0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.8% (

0.5)

88.2% (

-0.5)

Malawi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.95% (

0.84)

17.06% (

-0.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.78% (

1.47)

47.22% (

-1.46)

Score Analysis

Liberia 11.78%

Malawi 66.01%

Draw 22.2%

Liberia	Draw	Malawi
1-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.68% Total : 11.78%	1-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.62) 2-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.2%	0-1 @ 16.75% ( -0.61) 0-2 @ 14.81% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 8.73% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 8.71% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 5.14% ( 0.23) 0-4 @ 3.86% ( 0.18) 1-4 @ 2.27% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.11) 0-5 @ 1.37% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.85% Total : 66.01%