We said: Seychelles 0-1 Kenya
Fresh off the back of a humiliating opening-day defeat, Seychelles will head into Monday looking to restore some pride. However, given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, we are backing Kenya to build on the positives from Friday's loss against Gabon and extend their dominance over the Pirates.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kenya win with a probability of 83.44%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Seychelles had a probability of 4.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.89%) and 0-1 (10.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.51%), while for a Seychelles win it was 1-0 (1.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kenya would win this match.