World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Nov 20, 2023 at 7pm UK

Stade Felix Houphouet-Boigny

Seychelles
0 - 5
Kenya

Monay (36'), Labrosse (75'), Raheriniaina (87')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Olunga (3', 6'), Juma (45+3'), Onyango (62'), Omala (73')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Seychelles and Kenya, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Seychelles

Last Game: Ivory Coast 9-0 Seychelles
Friday, November 17 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Kenya

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Gabon 2-1 Kenya
Thursday, November 16 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Algeria	3	6	9
2	Senegal	3	4	6
3	Kenya	3	-4	3
4	Tanzania	3	-6	0

Fresh off the back of a humiliating opening-day defeat, Seychelles will head into Monday looking to restore some pride. However, given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, we are backing Kenya to build on the positives from Friday's loss against Gabon and extend their dominance over the Pirates. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kenya win with a probability of 83.44%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Seychelles had a probability of 4.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.89%) and 0-1 (10.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.51%), while for a Seychelles win it was 1-0 (1.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kenya would win this match.

Result
Seychelles	Draw	Kenya
4.94% ( 0.16)	11.62% ( 0.1)	83.44% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 39.22% (

0.8)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.12% (

0.33)

35.88% (

-0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.03% (

0.37)

57.96% (

-0.36)

Seychelles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

41.86% (

0.84)

58.13% (

-0.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.33% (

0.45)

89.67% (

-0.45)

Kenya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.67% (

0.02)

6.32% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.21% (

0.04)

23.78% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Seychelles 4.94%

Kenya 83.44%

Draw 11.62%

Seychelles	Draw	Kenya
1-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.45% Total : 4.94%	1-1 @ 5.51% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.38% Total : 11.62%	0-2 @ 14.01% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 12.89% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 10.15% ( -0.16) 0-4 @ 8.9% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 7.6% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 6.99% ( 0.09) 0-5 @ 4.91% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 4.83% ( 0.06) 1-5 @ 2.67% ( 0.04) 0-6 @ 2.26% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.05) 1-6 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.8% Total : 83.44%