World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 20, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stade Felix Houphouet-Boigny
Seychelles0 - 5Kenya
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ivory Coast 9-0 Seychelles
Friday, November 17 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Friday, November 17 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
We said: Seychelles 0-1 Kenya
Fresh off the back of a humiliating opening-day defeat, Seychelles will head into Monday looking to restore some pride. However, given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, we are backing Kenya to build on the positives from Friday's loss against Gabon and extend their dominance over the Pirates. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kenya win with a probability of 83.44%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Seychelles had a probability of 4.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.89%) and 0-1 (10.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.51%), while for a Seychelles win it was 1-0 (1.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kenya would win this match.
Result | ||
Seychelles | Draw | Kenya |
4.94% ( 0.16) | 11.62% ( 0.1) | 83.44% ( -0.26) |
Both teams to score 39.22% ( 0.8) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.12% ( 0.33) | 35.88% ( -0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.03% ( 0.37) | 57.96% ( -0.36) |
Seychelles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
41.86% ( 0.84) | 58.13% ( -0.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
10.33% ( 0.45) | 89.67% ( -0.45) |
Kenya Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.67% ( 0.02) | 6.32% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.21% ( 0.04) | 23.78% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Seychelles 4.94%
Kenya 83.44%
Draw 11.62%
Seychelles | Draw | Kenya |
1-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.45% Total : 4.94% | 1-1 @ 5.51% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.38% Total : 11.62% | 0-2 @ 14.01% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 12.89% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 10.15% ( -0.16) 0-4 @ 8.9% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 7.6% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 6.99% ( 0.09) 0-5 @ 4.91% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 4.83% ( 0.06) 1-5 @ 2.67% ( 0.04) 0-6 @ 2.26% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.05) 1-6 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.8% Total : 83.44% |
How you voted: Seychelles vs Kenya
Seychelles
0.0%Draw
27.3%Kenya
72.7%11
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-11-24 18:38:37
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1 | Liverpool | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 8 | 16 | 31 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 23 |
3 | Chelsea | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 22 |
4 | Arsenal | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 22 |
5 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 22 |
6 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 13 | 14 | 19 |
7 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Aston Villa | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
9 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
10 | Fulham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
11 | Brentford | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 17 |
12 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Bournemouth | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 15 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
15 | Everton | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 11 |
16 | Leicester CityLeicester | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 10 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 9 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 9 |
19 | Crystal Palace | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
20 | Southampton | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 4 |
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