Friendlies 3

Jun 20, 2023 at 2pm UK

Sultan Mizan Zainal Abidin Stadium

Malaysia
10 - 0
P. New Guinea

Rasid (45+4' pen.), Aiman (89', 57', 61', 87'), Josue (53', 64', 70'), Halim (59'), Ting (77')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Preview

Data Analysis

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Malaysia and Papua New Guinea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malaysia

Last Game: Malaysia 4-1 Solomon Islands
Wednesday, June 14 at 2pm in International Friendlies

Papua New Guinea

Last Game: Singapore 2-2 P. New Guinea
Friday, June 16 at 12.30pm in International Friendlies

We said: Malaysia 2-1 Papua New Guinea

Malaysia have put together a fine run of results and will be looking to keep the ball rolling ahead of the 2023 AFC Asia Cup. Kim Pan-gon's side have home advantage in their favour and we predict that they will do just enough to edge out the Kapuls. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaysia win with a probability of 90.57%. A draw had a probability of 7.1% and a win for Papua New Guinea had a probability of 2.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaysia win was 3-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.5%) and 4-0 (11.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.35%), while for a Papua New Guinea win it was 0-1 (1%). The actual scoreline of 10-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malaysia would win this match.

Result
Malaysia	Draw	Papua New Guinea
90.57% ( 46.61)	7.06% ( -15.41)	2.38% ( -31.2)

Both teams to score 34.96% (

-31.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.28% (

7.21)

26.72% (

-7.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.87% (

8.65)

47.13% (

-8.65)

Malaysia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.53% (

12.63)

3.47% (

-12.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

84.87% (

30.37)

15.13% (

-30.37)

Papua New Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

36.22% (

-43.1)

63.78% (

43.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

7.54% (

-39.2)

92.46% (

39.19)

Score Analysis

Malaysia 90.55%

Papua New Guinea 2.38%

Draw 7.06%

Malaysia	Draw	Papua New Guinea
3-0 @ 14% ( 10.62) 2-0 @ 12.5% ( 6.95) 4-0 @ 11.76% ( 10.22) 5-0 @ 7.91% ( 7.35) 1-0 @ 7.44% ( 1.36) 3-1 @ 6.3% ( 0.97) 2-1 @ 5.62% ( -3.13) 4-1 @ 5.29% ( 2.86) 6-0 @ 4.43% ( 4.26) 5-1 @ 3.56% ( 2.67) 7-0 @ 2.13% ( 2.08) 6-1 @ 1.99% ( 1.72) 3-2 @ 1.42% ( -2.78) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.73) 7-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.89) Other @ 4.06% Total : 90.55%	1-1 @ 3.35% ( -6.24) 0-0 @ 2.21% ( -1.12) 2-2 @ 1.26% ( -5.63) Other @ 0.23% Total : 7.06%	0-1 @ 1% ( -4.25) Other @ 1.38% Total : 2.38%