Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 47.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Algeria had a probability of 25.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for an Algeria win it was 0-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
