MX23RW : Friday, June 28 08:50:10| >> :60:465:465:
Panama national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | Semi-Finals
Mar 22, 2024 at 2.15am UK
AT&T Stadium
Mexico national football team

Panama
0 - 3
Mexico


Carrasquilla (85')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Alvarez (40'), Quinones (43'), Pineda (67')
Chavez (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Panama and Mexico, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Panama

All competitions
Last Game: Panama 3-1 Costa Rica
Tuesday, November 21 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

Mexico

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Mexico 2-3 Colombia
Sunday, December 17 at 12am in International Friendlies
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Mexico356
2Qatar304
3Honduras3-34
4Haiti3-23

We said: Panama 1-1 Mexico (Panama advances on penalties)

 Just like in the 2023 final, we expect this to be a close game between two sides with plenty of experience in these sorts of games. Although it has been a while since Los Canaleros have got the better of El Tri, Panama have been a lot more consistent than their Thursday opponents, and it seems like they have learned a lot from that Gold Cup loss, which should serve them well in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 38.58%. A win for Mexico had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Mexico win was 0-1 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
PanamaDrawMexico
38.58% (0.763 0.76) 27.29% (0.127 0.13) 34.12% (-0.887 -0.89)
Both teams to score 49.8% (-0.51300000000001 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.31% (-0.594 -0.59)55.69% (0.599 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.16% (-0.487 -0.49)76.84% (0.491 0.49)
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.95% (0.15799999999999 0.16)28.05% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.29% (0.198 0.2)63.71% (-0.194 -0.19)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.22% (-0.86500000000001 -0.87)30.78% (0.869 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.95% (-1.033 -1.03)67.05% (1.036 1.04)
Score Analysis
    Panama 38.57%
    Mexico 34.12%
    Draw 27.29%
PanamaDrawMexico
1-0 @ 10.97% (0.3 0.3)
2-1 @ 8.22% (0.064 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.98% (0.218 0.22)
3-1 @ 3.48% (0.042 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.96% (0.105 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.11% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 38.57%
1-1 @ 12.93% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.64% (0.197 0.2)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.29%
0-1 @ 10.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.62% (-0.158 -0.16)
0-2 @ 6% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-3 @ 2.99% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-3 @ 2.35% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 34.12%

How you voted: Panama vs Mexico

Panama
29.2%
Draw
14.6%
Mexico
56.3%
48
Head to Head
Jul 17, 2023 12.30am
Final
Mexico
1-0
Panama
Gimenez (88')
Vasquez (11'), Montes (45+3'), Gallardo (54'), Alvarez (60')

Cummings (21'), Christiansen (26'), Carrasquilla (55'), Godoy (64'), Mosquera (90+6')
> Preview
Jun 18, 2023 11pm
Third-Place Playoff
Panama
0-1
Mexico

Quintero Medina (33'), Godoy (57'), Mejia (75'), Martinez (78'), Miller (90')
Gallardo (4')
Romo (28'), Herrera (31'), Araujo (45+4'), Vasquez (54'), Sanchez (81'), Reyes (84')
> Preview
Feb 3, 2022 3am
Third Round
Mexico
1-0
Panama
Herrera (46')
Davis (89'), Fajardo (90'), Cooper (90+1')
> Preview
Sep 9, 2021 1.05am
Third Round
Panama
1-1
Mexico
Blackburn (28')
Corona (76')
> Preview
Jul 1, 2021 2am
Friendlies 1
Mexico
3-0
Panama
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
> Preview
 
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
Denmark
> Preview
Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
Round of 16
England
vs.
Slovakia
 
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
Georgia
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
 
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
 
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
 
8pm
Semi-Finals
Winner Quarter-final 1
vs.
Winner Quarter-final 2
Wednesday, July 10
 
8pm
Semi-Finals
Winner Quarter-final 3
vs.
Winner Quarter-final 4
Sunday, July 14
 
8pm
Final
Winner SF1
vs.
Winner SF2
> View full version> Results
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121
> European Championship 2024 overview


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