MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 17:32:57| >> :60:299:299:
Honduras national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Nov 18, 2023 at 2am UK
Estadio Tiburcio Carias Andino
Mexico national football team

Honduras
2 - 0
Mexico

Lozano (30'), Rochez (72')
Rivas (45+2'), Rosales (52'), Lozano (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sanchez (41'), Vasquez (90+3'), Malagon (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Honduras and Mexico, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Honduras

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Honduras 4-0 Cuba
Monday, October 16 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

Mexico

All competitions
Last Game: Mexico 2-2 Germany
Wednesday, October 18 at 1am in International Friendlies
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Mexico356
2Qatar304
3Honduras3-34
4Haiti3-23

We said: Honduras 0-2 Mexico

 Since Lozano took charge, the Mexicans seem to have regained their mojo, and as good as the Hondurans were defensively in the opening phase, they will be facing a much more dynamic attack than the ones they saw in the group stage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 46.87%. A win for Honduras had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Honduras win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
HondurasDrawMexico
27.32% (0.023 0.02) 25.8% (0.004999999999999 0) 46.87% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 51.38% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.74%52.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.04% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)73.96% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Honduras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.11% (0.019000000000005 0.02)33.89% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.44% (0.021000000000001 0.02)70.56% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.71% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)22.28% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.26% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)55.74% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Honduras 27.32%
    Mexico 46.87%
    Draw 25.79%
HondurasDrawMexico
1-0 @ 8.17% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 6.64% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 4.42% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 2.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.8% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.6% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 27.32%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 7.55%
2-2 @ 4.98% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 1%
Total : 25.79%
0-1 @ 11.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 8.51% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.26% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.49%
1-4 @ 1.73% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.6% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 46.87%

How you voted: Honduras vs Mexico

Honduras
29.1%
Draw
9.1%
Mexico
61.8%
55
Head to Head
Jun 26, 2023 1.30am
Group Stage
Mexico
4-0
Honduras
Romo (1', 23'), Pineda (52'), Chavez (64')
Sanchez (29'), Uriel (32')

Vega (20'), Elis (32')
> Preview
Mar 28, 2022 12.05am
Third Round
Honduras
0-1
Mexico
Alvarez (70')
> Preview
Oct 11, 2021 12am
Third Round
Mexico
3-0
Honduras
Cordova (18'), Funes Mori (76'), Lozano (86')
Montes (12')

Antonio Pereira Rodriguez (21'), Acosta (45+2')
Figueroa (49')
> Preview
Jul 25, 2021 3am
Quarter-Finals
Mexico
3-0
Honduras
Funes Mori (26'), Dos Santos (31'), Pineda (38')
Gallardo (84')

Acosta (35'), Flores (58'), Garcia (60'), Fabricio Rojas Lazo (89')
> Preview
Jun 13, 2021 1am
Friendlies 1
Mexico
0-0
Honduras
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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