Bolivia1 - 2Ecuador
Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, September 12 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Tuesday, September 12 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
We said: Bolivia 1-2 Ecuador
While we expect Bolivia to be competitive, with their opening two defeats coming against unenviable opposition, Ecuador boast the stronger squad and have a degree of momentum on their side, and we fancy them to get over the line in La Paz and make it back-to-back qualifying wins to get their points tally into the positive. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 53.36%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 22.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.8%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Bolivia win it was 1-0 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ecuador in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ecuador.
| Result | ||
| Bolivia | Draw | Ecuador |
22.28% ( -1.38) | 24.35% ( -0.55) | 53.36% ( 1.93) |
| Both teams to score 50.79% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
