CONCACAF Nations League | Final
Mar 25, 2024 at 1.15am UK
AT&T Stadium
Mexico0 - 2USA
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Panama 0-3 Mexico
Friday, March 22 at 2.15am in CONCACAF Nations League
Friday, March 22 at 2.15am in CONCACAF Nations League
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Qatar | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Honduras | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Haiti | 3 | -2 | 3 |
Last Game: USA 3-1 Jamaica
Thursday, March 21 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Thursday, March 21 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | USA | 3 | 12 | 7 |
| 2 | Jamaica | 3 | 8 | 7 |
| 3 | Trinidad and Tobago | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 4 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 3 | -14 | 0 |
We said: USA 2-1 Mexico (extra time)
The Yanks may look sluggish at times, but someone always seems to step up for them when needed, and we believe their attacking depth and psychological edge over Mexico will propel them to a third straight Nations League crown. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Mexico had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Mexico win was 1-0 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mexico | Draw | USA |
34.22% ( -0.21) | 25.72% ( 0.02) | 40.05% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 54.89% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.8% ( -0.15) | 49.2% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.73% ( -0.13) | 71.26% ( 0.13) |
| Mexico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.47% ( -0.2) | 27.53% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.96% ( -0.26) | 63.04% ( 0.26) |
| USA Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.74% ( 0.03) | 24.25% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.39% ( 0.05) | 58.61% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
Mexico 34.23%
USA 40.05%
Draw 25.72%
| Mexico | Draw | USA |
| 1-0 @ 8.61% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.93% Total : 34.23% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.64% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.08% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 1.88% Total : 40.05% |
How you voted: Winner SF1 vs Winner SF2
Winner Semi-final 1
52.8%Draw
30.2%Winner Semi-final 2
17.0%53
