MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 19:45:28| >> :60:260:260:
Mexico national football team
Friendlies 1
Dec 17, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Azteca
Colombia national football team

Mexico
2 - 3
Colombia

Govea (40'), Martinez (50')
Gonzalez (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Reyes (55'), Martinez (69'), Gomez (90+2')
Vera (61'), Martinez (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's friendly clash between Mexico and Colombia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 2-0 Honduras (4-2 pen.)
Wednesday, November 22 at 2.30am in CONCACAF Nations League
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Mexico356
2Qatar304
3Honduras3-34
4Haiti3-23

Colombia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Colombia 1-0 Venezuela
Sunday, December 10 at 11.30pm in International Friendlies

We said: Mexico 0-1 Colombia

 Neither side will have the best players on the field, but we do not believe the solid Colombian defence will be bothered by an inexperienced and unproven group of Mexican attackers. A quality striker like Cucho Hernandez could make the difference this weekend for Colombia, which have faced much stronger opponents lately and got results. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 47.84%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 24.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.

Result
MexicoDrawColombia
47.84% (-0.403 -0.4) 27.27% (0.082999999999998 0.08) 24.88% (0.317 0.32)
Both teams to score 45.26% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.77% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)59.23% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.35% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)79.64% (0.049000000000007 0.05)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.15% (-0.22 -0.22)24.85% (0.217 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.55% (-0.308 -0.31)59.44% (0.30399999999999 0.3)
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.22% (0.251 0.25)39.78% (-0.25599999999999 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.55% (0.234 0.23)76.45% (-0.23700000000001 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Mexico 47.84%
    Colombia 24.88%
    Draw 27.27%
MexicoDrawColombia
1-0 @ 13.76% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.58% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
2-1 @ 8.83% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.45% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.1% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.55% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.43% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 47.84%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 9.88% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.07% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.27%
0-1 @ 9.11% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
1-2 @ 5.85% (0.058000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.2% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.8% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.25% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 24.88%

How you voted: Mexico vs Colombia

Mexico
51.1%
Draw
11.1%
Colombia
37.8%
45
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2022 3am
International Friendly
Mexico
2-3
Colombia
Vega (6' pen.), Arteaga (29')
Sinisterra (49', 52'), Barrios (68')
> Preview
May 29, 2020 11pm
Friendlies 1
Mexico
P-P
Colombia
rhs 2.0
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