Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 16, 2023 at 5pm UK
Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena
We said: Georgia 1-1 Scotland
With Adams watching on from the medical room and a distinct lack of wide defenders, Scotland could be fighting an uphill battle to make it two for two against Georgia, whose defence-heavy setup should prove difficult to penetrate on home soil.
Clarke's side have much more on the line than Sagnol's men, who are enjoying a simple cruise to the playoffs, but the Crusaders should not take their foot off the gas at home and have the wherewithal to restrict Scotland to just the one point on Thursday.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Georgia win with a probability of 67.59% . A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Scotland had a probability of 14.5% .
The most likely scoreline for a Georgia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 1-0 (8.01%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%) , while for a Scotland win it was 1-2 (4.12%) . The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result Georgia Draw Scotland 67.59% ( 0.03) 17.91% ( -0.01) 14.5% ( -0.02)
Both teams to score 57.78% ( 0.01)
65.82% ( 0.03) 34.18% ( -0.02)
43.93% ( 0.03) 56.07% ( -0.03)
90.7% ( 0.02) 9.29% ( -0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 68.62% ( 0.03) 31.37% ( -0.03)
63.7% ( -0) 36.29% ( 0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 26.92% ( -0) 73.08% ( 0)
Georgia 67.59%
Scotland 14.5%
Draw 17.91%
Georgia Draw Scotland 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.52% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.64% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.54% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.54% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.48% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.87% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.3% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.16% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.13% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 4.66% Total : 67.59% 1-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.37% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.22% Total : 17.91% 1-2 @ 4.12% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.42% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.73% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.65% 1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 2.19% Total : 14.5%
How you voted: Georgia vs Scotland
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