Euro Champ Qualifying | Semi-Finals
Mar 21, 2024 at 5pm UK
Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena
Georgia2 - 0Luxembourg
FT(HT: 1-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Spain 3-1 Georgia
Sunday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Sunday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Liechtenstein 0-1 Luxembourg
Sunday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Sunday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 10 | 34 | 30 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 10 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 10 | -6 | 17 |
| 4 | Iceland | 10 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 10 | -11 | 9 |
| 6 | Liechtenstein | 10 | -27 | 0 |
We said: Georgia 1-1 Luxembourg (a.e.t. - Georgia to win on penalties)
With both managers forced to cope without one of their key offensive players for the semi-final, an extremely tight affair should be in store in Tbilisi, where Georgia may have previously been considered the favourites had Kvaratskhelia been available. A defensively-compact Luxembourg can therefore frustrate their visitors for 120 minutes, but when it comes to the dreaded spot kicks, home advantage may just do the trick for Sagnol's side as they prolong their dreams of Euros qualification while dashing Luxembourg's. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Georgia win with a probability of 67.63%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 14.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Georgia win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 1-0 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 1-2 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Georgia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Georgia | Draw | Luxembourg |
67.63% ( -1.37) | 18.08% ( 0.69) | 14.3% ( 0.69) |
| Both teams to score 56.54% ( -0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
