Spain3 - 1Georgia
The Match
Preview
Predicted Lineups
Form, Standings, Stats
Thursday, November 16 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
We said: Spain 3-1 Georgia
Injuries may be rearing their ugly heads for De la Fuente's side, but the abundance of talent in the Roja reserves means that Georgia's sojourn to Valladolid should not be worthwhile one for Sagnol's team. Finding the back of the net is never an issue for the Crusaders, but they have flattered to deceive on the road, and Spain ought to seal a first-placed finish in the group in style. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 75.6%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Georgia had a probability of 9.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.98%), while for a Georgia win it was 1-2 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Spain in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Spain.
Result | ||
Spain | Draw | Georgia |
75.6% ( -0.26) | 14.96% ( 0.12) | 9.44% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 51.59% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.26% ( -0.13) | 33.74% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.43% ( -0.15) | 55.57% ( 0.15) |
Spain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.55% ( -0.08) | 7.45% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.21% ( -0.22) | 26.79% ( 0.22) |
Georgia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.74% ( 0.19) | 44.25% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.67% ( 0.16) | 80.33% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Spain | Draw | Georgia |
2-0 @ 11.11% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 9.62% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 5.09% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.08% 6-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.03) 6-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 3.25% Total : 75.59% | 1-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.02) Other @ 1% Total : 14.96% | 1-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.81% Total : 9.44% |
How you voted: Spain vs Georgia
Aburjania (45+2'), Kashia (50'), Kiteishvili (60'), Chakvetadze (63'), Kvaratskhelia (82')
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
2 | Chelsea | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 35 |
3 | Arsenal | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 33 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 31 |
5 | Bournemouth | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 28 |
6 | Aston Villa | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
7 | Manchester CityMan City | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 26 |
9 | Fulham | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 23 |
12 | Brentford | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 20 |
15 | Everton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Crystal Palace | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 16 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 14 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 12 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 12 |
20 | Southampton | 17 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 6 |
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