We said: Morocco 2-0 Cape Verde
We expect Morocco to have too much quality for Cape Verde, who have failed to win their previous three meetings. Given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, we are backing the Atlas Lions to come out on top in front of their home supporters.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 36.58%. A win for Morocco had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.31%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Morocco win was 1-0 (12.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.