As much as Poland will want to enter the World Cup on a high, Michniewicz could do without losing some key names to injury, and the hosting manager will certainly rotate heavily during the match. With Sanchez in strong form at club level, Chile will hope to consign their recent scoreless streak to history, but Berizzo's leaky crop are still unlikely to experience much joy in Warsaw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 50.16%. A win for Chile had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.16%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Chile win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Poland would win this match.

Result
Poland	Draw	Chile
50.16% ( -0.01)	21.32% ( -0)	28.52% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 67.92% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.04% (

0.01)

30.96% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.67% (

0.01)

52.33% (

-0.01)

Poland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.12% (

12.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.72% (

39.28% (

-0)

Chile Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.96% (

0.01)

22.04% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.63% (

0.01)

55.37% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Poland 50.16%

Chile 28.52%

Draw 21.32%

Poland	Draw	Chile
2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.16% 2-0 @ 5.96% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.82% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.66% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.07% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.16% 4-2 @ 2.39% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.09% 5-1 @ 1.29% 4-3 @ 1.2% 5-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.37% Total : 50.16%	1-1 @ 8.8% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.82% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.84% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.35% ( 0) Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.32%	1-2 @ 6.65% 0-1 @ 4.29% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.44% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.25% 0-3 @ 1.64% 2-4 @ 1.3% 1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 3.33% Total : 28.52%