World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Mar 25, 2022 at 2am UK
Mexico0 - 0USA
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mexico 0-0 Ecuador
Monday, June 6 at 12.30am in International Friendlies
Monday, June 6 at 12.30am in International Friendlies
Next Game: Mexico vs. Suriname
Sunday, June 12 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Sunday, June 12 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: USA 0-0 Uruguay
Sunday, June 5 at 10pm in International Friendlies
Sunday, June 5 at 10pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: USA vs. Grenada
Saturday, June 11 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Saturday, June 11 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
We said: Mexico 1-1 USA
Neither side look like the CONCACAF giants that we have seen through the years, although they each have enough quality in attack to make a difference. At an altitude of 2,200 metres above sea level, the Azteca is not the easiest venue to play in, but El Tri have drawn two fixtures there in this qualifying round, and we anticipate a stalemate between these sides who have so much at stake. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 50.21%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for USA had a probability of 23.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a USA win it was 0-1 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Mexico | Draw | USA |
| 50.21% | 26.74% | 23.05% |
| Both teams to score 44.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.28% | 58.72% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.75% | 79.25% |
| Mexico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.48% | 23.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.43% | 57.57% |
| USA Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.78% | 41.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.25% | 77.76% |
| Score Analysis |
Mexico 50.2%
USA 23.05%
Draw 26.73%
| Mexico | Draw | USA |
| 1-0 @ 14.03% 2-0 @ 10.15% 2-1 @ 9% 3-0 @ 4.9% 3-1 @ 4.34% 3-2 @ 1.92% 4-0 @ 1.77% 4-1 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.52% Total : 50.2% | 1-1 @ 12.43% 0-0 @ 9.7% 2-2 @ 3.99% Other @ 0.62% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 8.59% 1-2 @ 5.51% 0-2 @ 3.81% 1-3 @ 1.63% 2-3 @ 1.18% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.21% Total : 23.05% |
How you voted: Mexico vs USA
Mexico
47.5%Draw
23.7%USA
28.8%139
