Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 59.65%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Hapoel Haifa had a probability of 18.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Hapoel Haifa win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Tel Aviv would win this match.