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J1 League | Gameweek 19
Jun 22, 2024 at 10am UK
Denka Big Swan Stadium

Albirex Niigata
2 - 2
Kawasaki

Fujiwara (61'), Suzuki (90+7')
Horigome (70'), Fitzgerald (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Marcinho (17'), Yamada (90+11')
Seko (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Albirex Niigata and Kawasaki Frontale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vissel Kobe 1-0 Kawasaki
Sunday, June 16 at 6am in J1 League

We said: Albirex Niigata 1-1 Kawasaki Frontale

There is very little to split these teams in terms of their league position, and that is likely to be reflected in the match this weekend. Both need to get three points to push themselves away from the relegation zone, but the cautious approach of not wanting to lose could lead to them sharing the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Kawasaki Frontale had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-2 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Albirex NiigataDrawKawasaki Frontale
38.93% (-0.105 -0.11) 24.61% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05) 36.46% (0.164 0.16)
Both teams to score 59.14% (0.216 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.14% (0.27 0.27)43.86% (-0.263 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.75% (0.26300000000001 0.26)66.25% (-0.256 -0.26)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.55% (0.070999999999998 0.07)22.45% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.01% (0.1 0.1)55.99% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.26% (0.21299999999999 0.21)23.74% (-0.207 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.13% (0.302 0.3)57.88% (-0.297 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Albirex Niigata 38.93%
    Kawasaki Frontale 36.46%
    Draw 24.6%
Albirex NiigataDrawKawasaki Frontale
2-1 @ 8.55% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.96% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-0 @ 5.95% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.26% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.06% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.96% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.11% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 38.93%
1-1 @ 11.44% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.15% (0.027 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.33% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.47% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.6%
1-2 @ 8.23% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.67% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.51% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.95% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.95% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.64% (0.017 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.42% (0.021 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.06% (0.018 0.02)
0-4 @ 0.95% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 36.46%

How you voted: Albirex Niigata vs Kawasaki

Albirex Niigata
28.6%
Draw
28.6%
Kawasaki Frontale
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Sep 29, 2023 11am
Gameweek 29
Kawasaki
2-3
Albirex Niigata
Schmidt (23'), Yamada (76' pen.)
Tachibanada (87'), Noborizato (90+6')
Suzuki (30'), Arai (59'), Ota (80')
Mar 11, 2023 5am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe38219861362572
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima381911872432968
3Machida Zelvia381991054342066
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka381812849351466
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers381811960411965
6Tokyo Verdy381414105151056
7FC Tokyo38159145351254
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki381313126657952
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama38157166162-152
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo381313124348-552
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus38155184447-350
12Avispa Fukuoka381214123338-550
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa381212144945448
14Kyoto Sanga381211154355-1247
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare38129175358-545
16Albirex Niigata381012164459-1542
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol38914153951-1241
18Jubilo Iwata38108204768-2138
19Consadole SapporoConsadole38910194366-2337
20Sagan Tosu38105234868-2035


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