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J1 League | Gameweek 15
May 19, 2024 at 8am UK
Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka (Hiratsuka)

Shonan Bellmare
2 - 1
Albirex Niigata

Lukian (35', 60')
Oiwa (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Nagakura (30')
Fujiwara (2'), Okumura (22')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Shonan Bellmare and Albirex Niigata.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reysol 2-1 Shonan Bellmare
Wednesday, May 15 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 3-1 Yokohama
Wednesday, May 15 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 37.88%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 35.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Shonan BellmareDrawAlbirex Niigata
35.37% (-0.153 -0.15) 26.75% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 37.88% (0.141 0.14)
Both teams to score 51.68% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.62% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)53.38% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.08% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)74.92% (0.057999999999993 0.06)
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.15% (-0.12599999999999 -0.13)28.85% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.28% (-0.157 -0.16)64.71% (0.15799999999999 0.16)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.64% (0.050000000000011 0.05)27.36% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.18% (0.064 0.06)62.82% (-0.064 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Shonan Bellmare 35.37%
    Albirex Niigata 37.88%
    Draw 26.74%
Shonan BellmareDrawAlbirex Niigata
1-0 @ 9.81% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.9% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.1% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.28% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.53% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 35.37%
1-1 @ 12.71%
0-0 @ 7.89% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.12% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 10.23% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.24% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.63% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.56% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.87% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 0.93% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 37.88%

Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 10am
Gameweek 23
Albirex Niigata
2-2
Shonan Bellmare
Takagi (75', 90+3')
Arai (52')
Ohashi (10'), Silvano Disaro (26')
Onose (56'), Ohashi (79'), Tanaka (87')
Jun 3, 2023 7am
Gameweek 16
Shonan Bellmare
2-2
Albirex Niigata
Machino (2' pen.), Onose (83')
Oiwa (47'), Sugioka (70'), Okuno (72'), Takahashi (90')
Taniguchi (30', 62')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima321711463323162
2Vissel KobeVissel Kobe32187751302161
3Machida Zelvia32178746242259
4Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers3114894839950
5Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka31131173526950
6Tokyo Verdy32121284242048
7FC Tokyo32138114643347
8Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus32144144038246
9Cerezo OsakaCerezo31101293840-242
10Yokohama F MarinosYokohama31125145253-141
11Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki311010115045540
12Avispa Fukuoka32913102833-540
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa30109114340339
14Albirex Niigata32109134351-839
15Kyoto Sanga31108133750-1338
16Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare3298154450-635
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol31811123444-1035
18Jubilo Iwata3188153651-1532
19Consadole SapporoConsadole3278173657-2129
20Sagan Tosu3274213862-2425


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