Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result
Kawasaki Frontale	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
43.63% ( -0.9)	25.41% ( 0.21)	30.96% ( 0.69)

Both teams to score 54.82% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.2% (

-0.6)

48.8% (

0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.1% (

-0.55)

70.9% (

0.55)

Kawasaki Frontale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.69% (

-0.67)

22.31% (

0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.21% (

-1.02)

55.78% (

1.02)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.57% (

0.17)

29.43% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.58% (

0.2)

65.42% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Kawasaki Frontale 43.63%

Nagoya Grampus 30.96%

Draw 25.4%

Kawasaki Frontale	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.27% Total : 43.63%	1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.4%	0-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 7.37% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.47% Total : 30.96%