Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Albirex Niigata would win this match.