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J1 League | Gameweek 20
Jun 26, 2024 at 11am UK
EDION Stadium

Hiroshima
1 - 1
Albirex Niigata

Ohashi (27')
Skibbe (54')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Taniguchi (11')
Inamura (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Albirex Niigata, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reysol 0-1 Hiroshima
Saturday, June 22 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 2-2 Kawasaki
Saturday, June 22 at 10am in J1 League

We said: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-0 Albirex Niigata

Sanfrecce Hiroshima have been an impressive team so far this season, and their attacking qualities will likely prove to be too much for their opponents in midweek. The visitors have struggled so far in this campaign, and that is likely to be reflected in this match as their opponents should have enough quality to take all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 60.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 17.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for an Albirex Niigata win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawAlbirex Niigata
60.85% (0.051000000000002 0.05) 21.44% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 17.71% (-0.032 -0.03)
Both teams to score 52.68% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.59% (0.012999999999998 0.01)44.41% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.21% (0.012 0.01)66.78% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.88% (0.022000000000006 0.02)14.12% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.24% (0.037999999999997 0.04)41.76% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.34% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)38.65% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.6% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)75.39% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 60.84%
    Albirex Niigata 17.71%
    Draw 21.43%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawAlbirex Niigata
1-0 @ 10.68%
2-0 @ 10.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.94%
3-0 @ 6.82% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.49% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 3.34% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.17% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 3.08%
4-2 @ 1.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.31% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 60.84%
1-1 @ 10.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.43%
0-1 @ 5.19% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.83% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.47% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.53% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 17.71%

How you voted: Hiroshima vs Albirex Niigata

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
75.0%
Draw
12.5%
Albirex Niigata
12.5%
8
Head to Head
May 3, 2024 6am
Gameweek 11
Albirex Niigata
1-1
Hiroshima
Takagi (90+4')
Ota (8')
Hayakawa (33')
Araki (69')
Jul 1, 2023 10am
Gameweek 19
Albirex Niigata
2-0
Hiroshima
Mito (25'), Araki (28' og.)

Kawamura (23'), Araki (33')
Feb 26, 2023 5am
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe36208857352268
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima361811766392765
3Machida Zelvia36189952312163
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka361612845341160
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers361611955401559
6Tokyo Verdy36141394746155
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo361313104343052
8FC Tokyo36149134949051
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama36147155858049
10Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus36145174244-247
11Avispa Fukuoka361114113135-447
12Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa351210134843546
13Kyoto Sanga361210144354-1146
14Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki351112125751645
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare36129155152-145
16Albirex Niigata361011154458-1441
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol36913143849-1140
18Jubilo Iwata3698194564-1935
19Consadole SapporoConsadole36810184161-2034
20Sagan Tosu3685234268-2629


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