Wednesday's game promises to be a hard-fought one between two sides keen to arrest poor runs of form in the J1 League. While the visitors have enjoyed the stronger season thus far, their confidence has taken a hit from four straight defeats, and we envisage both sides settling for a share of the spoils in Kyoto. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kyoto Sanga win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kyoto Sanga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Kyoto Sanga	Draw	Kashiwa Reysol
38.85% ( -0.09)	27.51% ( 0.02)	33.63% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 49.06% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.41% (

-0.04)

56.59% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.44% (

-0.04)

77.57% (

0.04)

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.67% (

-0.07)

28.33% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.94% (

-0.09)

64.06% (

0.09)

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.44% (

0.03)

31.56% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.05% (

0.03)

67.96% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Kyoto Sanga 38.85%

Kashiwa Reysol 33.63%

Draw 27.51%

Kyoto Sanga	Draw	Kashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 11.27% 2-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.81% Total : 38.85%	1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.51%	0-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.5% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 33.63%