J1 League | Gameweek 31
Oct 28, 2023 at 6am UK
Yanmar Stadium Nagai
Cerezo1 - 0Gamba Osaka
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Gamba Osaka.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hiroshima 0-0 Cerezo
Saturday, October 21 at 8am in J1 League
Saturday, October 21 at 8am in J1 League
Goals
for
for
38
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 0-1 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, October 21 at 6am in J1 League
Saturday, October 21 at 6am in J1 League
Goals
for
for
37
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 19.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 1-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 1-2 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.
Result | ||
Cerezo Osaka | Draw | Gamba Osaka |
59.11% ( 0.16) | 20.95% ( -0.03) | 19.94% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 58.52% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.33% ( -0.03) | 38.67% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.03% ( -0.03) | 60.97% ( 0.04) |
Cerezo Osaka Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.2% ( 0.04) | 12.8% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.88% ( 0.08) | 39.12% ( -0.07) |
Gamba Osaka Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.12% ( -0.14) | 32.88% ( 0.14) |