La Liga | Gameweek 35
May 10, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Alaves2 - 2Girona
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Valencia 0-1 Alaves
Sunday, May 5 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Sunday, May 5 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Girona 4-2 Barcelona
Saturday, May 4 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Saturday, May 4 at 5.30pm in La Liga
We said: Alaves 1-1 Girona
Alaves are flying at the moment, and this is shaping up to be a very tough match for Girona. Michel's side will be desperate to claim second, but they have already secured Champions League football for next season, so there is no major pressure on them late in the campaign. It would not be a surprise to see a home or indeed an away win, but we fancy the points to be shared on Friday night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Girona |
35.62% ( -0.01) | 26.75% ( -0) | 37.62% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.68% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.61% ( 0.01) | 53.39% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.07% ( 0.01) | 74.93% ( -0.01) |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.29% ( -0) | 28.7% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.47% ( -0) | 64.53% ( 0) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.49% ( 0.01) | 27.51% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.98% ( 0.02) | 63.02% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Alaves 35.62%
Girona 37.62%
Draw 26.75%
| Alaves | Draw | Girona |
| 1-0 @ 9.86% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.94% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.15% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.3% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.56% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.62% | 1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 7.9% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.75% | 0-1 @ 10.19% 1-2 @ 8.21% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.58% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.83% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.03% Total : 37.62% |
How you voted: Alaves vs Girona
Alaves
21.1%Draw
28.0%Girona
50.9%175
