La Liga | Gameweek 17
Dec 18, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Girona3 - 0Alaves
We said: Girona 2-0 Alaves
Alaves are capable of making this an uncomfortable match for Girona, but the league leaders are in such excellent form, so we are finding it difficult to back against them. The away side have found it difficult to score goals this season, so we are also expecting Girona to keep a clean sheet on Monday night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 50.03%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Alaves |
50.03% ( -0.19) | 26.06% ( -0.04) | 23.9% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 47.63% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.33% ( 0.34) | 55.67% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.18% ( 0.27) | 76.82% ( -0.27) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.69% ( 0.05) | 22.31% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.23% ( 0.08) | 55.77% ( -0.08) |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.31% ( 0.41) | 38.69% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.57% ( 0.39) | 75.43% ( -0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
Girona 50.02%
Alaves 23.9%
Draw 26.06%
| Girona | Draw | Alaves |
| 1-0 @ 12.94% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.09)2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.94% Total : 50.02% | 1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.76% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.51% Total : 23.9% |
How you voted: Girona vs Alaves
Girona
80.9%Draw
12.7%Alaves
6.4%110
