Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 50.03%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Alaves |
50.03% ( -0.19) | 26.06% ( -0.04) | 23.9% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 47.63% ( 0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.33% ( 0.34) | 55.67% ( -0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.18% ( 0.27) | 76.82% ( -0.27) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.69% ( 0.05) | 22.31% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.23% ( 0.08) | 55.77% ( -0.08) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.31% ( 0.41) | 38.69% ( -0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.57% ( 0.39) | 75.43% ( -0.38) |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Alaves |
1-0 @ 12.94% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.94% Total : 50.02% | 1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.76% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.51% Total : 23.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 42 | 14 | 28 | 34 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 29 |
3 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
4 | Villarreal | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Osasuna | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 22 |
6 | GironaGirona | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
7 | Mallorca | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 21 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | Getafe | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 13 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 13 |
17 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
18 | Valencia | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 10 |
19 | Espanyol | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |