Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 50.03%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Alaves |
50.03% ( -0.19) | 26.06% ( -0.04) | 23.9% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 47.63% ( 0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.33% ( 0.34) | 55.67% ( -0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.18% ( 0.27) | 76.82% ( -0.27) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.69% ( 0.05) | 22.31% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.23% ( 0.08) | 55.77% ( -0.08) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.31% ( 0.41) | 38.69% ( -0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.57% ( 0.39) | 75.43% ( -0.38) |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Alaves |
1-0 @ 12.94% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.94% Total : 50.02% | 1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.76% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.51% Total : 23.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |